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Saturday, 10 October 2015

Czech media: ‘World leadership should be given to Russia, not the United States’

Having brought chaos, lawlessness and terrorism into Libya and Iraq, the United States is now trying to do the same in Syria. Europe has become fed up with Washington’s wrongdoings and says Russia should become a new world leader, Czech journalist Jiri Vyvadil wrote for
The White House wants the Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad gone and will do whatever it takes to achieve its objective — even arm Islamic militants to fight against government troops, creating a civil war that resulted in millions of people fleeing the country to save their lives.
Washington’s method of conducting foreign policy is to create chaos at the cost of hundreds of thousands of lives and destroy entire countries in the name of US economic and political interests. However, the US has constantly failed at it — all of its wars in the last two decades have ended in a fiasco, but Washington still hasn’t learned and keeps sticking to the same destructive policy which hasn’t worked, the Czech newspaper said. This article first published on NOVOROSSIA TODAY at on October 3, 2015.
There is only one solution Vyvadil argues and that’s to ditch the United States, as Washington has miserably failed as the leader of the international community.
“Leadership has to be given to Russia,”the journalist said, as cited
The author argued that Russian President Vladimir Putin, unlike his US colleague, has shown that he cares about problems in the Middle East and most importantly he understands that the refugee crisis in Europe and the rise of ISIL are tightly interconnected, and that’s the only way to solve these problems is to support the legitimately elected government of al-Assad and his national army. Putin has also shown that he can talk with Israel and take into account the interests of Iranian and Iraqi leaders.
If Europe continues to blindly follow Washington’s leash, the number of refugees fleeing from the Middle East and North Africa to Europe will keep growing further. Nothing will stop them — no fences, no security guards, no refugee receiving stations, the Czech journalist warned.
This article first published on NOVOROSSIA TODAY at on October 3, 2015.
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Friday, 9 October 2015

Moscow Refutes US Claims on Russian Missiles Targeting ISIL Landed in Iran

Local Editor

CNN anchor explaining claims on Russian missilesRussia's Defense Ministry refuted on Friday a US media report of an alleged incident involving cruise missiles which were fired at positions of the so-called 'Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant' (ISIL) takfiri group in Syria on October 7.

The Russian military stressed that all missiles hit their designated targets, challenging the CNN news network to prove its allegations.

"No matter how unpleasant and unexpected for our colleagues in the Pentagon and Langley was yesterday's high-precision strike on ISIL infrastructure in Syria, the fact remains that all missiles launched from our ships have found their targets," ministry's spokesman Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov said.

The American broadcaster cited two unnamed US officials, who said that four Russian missiles had crashed somewhere in Iran after being launched from vessels in the Caspian Sea. The report suggested that “some buildings were damaged and civilians may have been hurt.”

This triggered a quick reaction from the Russian Defense Ministry, with Konashenkov saying that all the missiles had hit their targets on Wednesday.

"Unlike CNN, we don’t distribute information citing anonymous sources, but show the very missile launches and the way they hit their targets almost in real time,” Konashenkov said.

The spokesman pointed out that the strike targets are being photographed before and after being hit, while Russian drones are monitoring the situation from Syrian skies 24/7.

The Russian Defense Ministry has posted a number of videos to prove the accuracy of its targeting systems.

Source: Websites
09-10-2015 - 10:24 Last updated 09-10-2015 - 10:24

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Wide-scale Op. in Syria: 27 Targets Hit in Homs, Hama, Raqa

Local Editor

Russian air force hit 27 terrorist targets in Syria overnight after conducting dozens of flights as part of the wide-scale operation launched by the Syrian army with the cover of Russia's air force.

"Russian warplanes conducted 22 sorties overnight. The crews of Sukhoi Su-34, Sukhoi Su-24M and Sukhoi Su-25 aircraft struck 27 terrorist targets on Syrian territory," Russia's defense ministry announced in a statement.

Russian strikesThe ministry said it had destroyed eight ISIL terrorist group strongholds near populated areas in the Homs province, and hit 11 training camps affiliated with the terrorist group in the Hama and Raqa provinces.

"As a result of the strikes, the infrastructure used for the training of terrorists has been destroyed," the statement said.

The Russian military also announced it had struck underground hideouts used by militants near the villages of Salma and Arafit, located in the coastal Latakia province.
In the same context, SANA reported that the Syrian Army units have succeeded to destroy armored vehicles and military posts for the so-called Jaish al-Fateh (Army of Conquest) terrorists with a cover from the Russian Air Force as part of the war against terrorism in the northern and north eastern countryside of Hama.

A military source said in a statement to SANA that these operations left 32 terrorists dead while 38 others were injured and four armored vehicles and three canons were destroyed.

The Syrian army units achieved great advance in different axes of clashes with terrorists who lost scores of their members while others fled away leaving their arms and ammunition behind.

In Latakia province, SANA reporter said 20 terrorists were killed as a car they were rigging with explosives exploded in Rabiaa area in the northern countryside of the province. A Saudi officer, who was an explosives expert, was identified among the dead.

Chief of the General Staff in the Syrian Army General Ali Abdullah Ayoub announced on Thursday morning the start of the military operation which aims at eliminating terrorist organizations in areas and towns that suffered from terrorism.

Source: Agencies
08-10-2015 - 21:38 Last updated 08-10-2015 - 22:44 

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UN Aid Chief Urges Probe on Saudi Bombing of Yemen Wedding

Local Editor

Yemen: Saudi-US aggressionThe top United Nations aid official called for a swift investigation Thursday of a Saudi-US air strike that killed dozens of people at a wedding in Yemen.

Stephen O'Brien, the UN under-secretary-general for humanitarian affairs, said he was "deeply disturbed" by the news that civilians had been killed in Wednesday evening's bombing.

"I call for a swift, transparent and impartial investigation into this incident," O'Brien said in a statement.

"Real accountability for parties to conflict, whether they are states or non-state groups, is urgently needed, to ensure that the commitment under international law to protect civilians is meaningful," he added.

O'Brien quoted Yemen's ministry of public health as saying that at least 47 people were killed and 35 were injured, among them many women and children, in the strike.

Medical sources confirmed at least 28 deaths to AFP.

The raid hit a house where dozens of people were celebrating in the town of Sanban in Dhamar province, 60 miles (100 kilometers) south of the capital Sanaa, residents said.

It was the second air strike by the Saudi-led coalition on a Yemeni wedding party in just over a week.

O'Brien said that 4,500 civilians have been killed or injured since the Saudi-led coalition began air strikes against rebels in Yemen in March.

"That is more than in any country or crisis in the world during the same period," he noted.

The strongly-worded statement underscored that the sides have a responsibility under international law to avoid damage to homes and other civilian structures.

"With modern weapons technology, there is little excuse for error," he added.

A Western-backed resolution calling for a UN investigation into rights abuses committed during the Saudi-US aggression on Yemen was withdrawn last week at the UN rights council due to protests from Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia has been striking Yemen for 197 days now to restore power to fugitive President Abed Rabbu Mansour Hadi. The Saudi-led aggression has so far killed at least 6,433 Yemenis, including hundreds of women and children.

Despite Riyadh’s claims that it is bombing the positions of the Yemeni military, Saudi warplanes are flattening residential areas and civilian infrastructures.

Source: AFP
09-10-2015 - 09:04 Last updated 09-10-2015 - 11:46 

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Aleppo, Syria, awaits with hope for Russian intervention against terrorists

(We) can do better

ALEPPO, SYRIA, October 5, 2015: I hesitated about sending this information, as it's only a little detail in a huge long conflict. Then I thought it was better to share such photos, the ones you never see in the daily propaganda against Syria and its people and government, who are facing such random attacks daily. I also talk about how Syrians seem to feel about Russia coming to help defend us against the terrorists.

This is a roof of 4-story building, that was shelled by the terrorists yesterday. The building is on the way to the Military Hospital, so shootings and mortars hit it from time to time accidentally, while targeting the hospital.
A cooking-gas-cylinder bomb damaged two water cisterns on the roof, a solar cell heating system for water, plus a room that looks like a studio with a master bed and toilet. Window glass on the 4th floor was shattered.
The Syrian Arab Army [the national army defending Syria] investigated the spot and removed the shrapnel from the bomb.

How Syrians seem to feel about Russia helping the Syrian government

I was asked for my assessment of the morale of the Syrian people in the post-Russian intervention phase. It was commented that across the world there seems to be a genuine support for the Russian role in Syria.
I can say that almost everyone I have met over here and everyone one I know online, in other Syrian provinces or among the diaspora, supports the Russians and their coalition with Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanese Resistance against the terrorists.
I wish to see the end of this nightmare before the end of the year. That dream is closer now, thanks to the Russians, who are targeting the real bases of terrorists, not just claiming to do so like the U.S. Coalition.
Only now, terrorists in Idleb are fleeing to Turkey, and the ones in Reqqa are fleeing to Iraq.
Some people have expressed fear that this could be a new trap for the Russians, like the one in Afghanistan back in the 70's and 80's. However I am guessing that they learned their lesson and won't make the mistake again.
I'm waiting for the Russians to start intervening in Aleppo. So far nothing happened over here. But they are preparing the arena for it.
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RT Tracks Down Head of the ‘Syrian Observatory for Human Rights’

Posted on 

The Western media’s primo, go-to source on the war in Syria turns out not to be quite as “authoritative” as he is portrayed.
And see also:

Remember this when you see the next MSM report citing this sell-out, Imperialist-tool. His “sources” are “unnamed activists” allegedly in Syria; the MSM and HR industry quotes him as truth. In the latest example, on October 1st, Rami/SOHR falsely claimed Russian airstrikes killed 30 Syrian civilians in Homs.
Other media followed suit. 21st Century Wire called out these lies, noting:
The Independent, a British media outlet, says that activists’ in Homs and Hama provinces have posted images and video online claiming to show Russian planes bombing groups of non-Isis rebels who are fighting Bashar al-Assad’s forces‘.
There are numerous glaring problems with this assessment. The first, obviously, being that anonymous ‘activists’ provided the information. The second being that the video that news outlet links to shows no jets at all, let alone ‘Russian planes’. “
In any case, according to Russia’s President Putin, as reported in Sputnik News, “As for any information in the media on civilians suffering [from Russian airstrikes], we were ready for such information attacks. I draw your attention to the fact that the first reports on civilian casualties emerged before our planes even left the ground.”
Enjoy the video on Osama Suleiman… sorry, “Rami Abdul Rahman” as he goes by…

See also yesterday’s post with a number of important links to articles on Russia’s involvement in Syria.

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Commander of Iran Revolutionary Guards Martyred in Syria’s Aleppo

Local Editor

General Hussein Hamedani The so-called 'Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant' (ISIL) takfiri group killed a senior commander in Iran's Revolutionary Guards in Syria on Thursday, the elite branch of the Iranian military announced Friday.

General Hussein Hamedani was martyred by ISIL terrorist operatives "during an advisory mission" in the northern region of Aleppo, a Guards statement said.

Hamedani had been playing an "important role... reinforcing the front of Islamic resistance against the terrorists", it added.

Iran is a staunch ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, supporting him with military expertise to defend the country against the operating takfiri groups.

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Sayyed Nasrallah: Saudi Will Be Dealt Severe Blow in Yemen

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah said Saudi Arabia will be dealt a severe, historic blow in Yemen, stressing that victory was definite for the Yemeni people.

Sayyed NasrallahIn an interview with the Iranian TV, Al-Ahvaz, on Thursday, Sayyed Nasrallah said Saudi Arabia destroyed Yemen and abolished its unity and development. “It’s depriving the Yemenis from their own natural wealth so that they’d remain poor and needy to Saudi Arabia. It has also been paying bribes and trying to impose its doctrine on the Yemenis forcefully,” his eminence said.

“I'm still confident that Saudi Arabia will be dealt a severe blow in Yemen and victory will be achieved there, but Allah will decide how and when would that happen,” the S.G. added.

Rebuffing lies about the dependency of the Yemeni revolution on Iran, Sayyed Nasrallah said: “Saudi Arabia wants others to believe that the Yemeni revolution is dependent on the Islamic Republic. This is a big and unfair lie.”

On Bahrain, he said the battle of the Bahraini people was a ‘historic’ one, “and according to the course of events, I believe it’s the battle of existence.”

Talking about Syria, Sayyed Nasrallah stressed that Syria constituted a significant key factor in the axis of resistance and was a big factor in disrupting the US projects, the reason why they wanted to hit and destroy it.

His eminence hailed the steadfastness of the Syrians, saying it formed the basis for any help and solidarity from allies and friends.

“Facts began to unfold before the Syrian people eyes that what’s needed wasn’t ‘democracy’ but rather was ISIL’s savage and defamed model” that’s committing the most horrible crimes against people in the region, Sayyed Nasrallah said.

“We’ve overcome the danger line in Syria in the light of internal, regional and international developments and the Syrian issue will take a new path. There’s a possibility that a serious political solution will be considered because the world has begun to think in a more realistic way,” his eminence pointed out.

“Billions of dollars have been spent so far for the destruction of Syria in addition to the hundreds of tons of weapons and tens of thousands of fighters who were brought from countries around the world down to the sectarian incitement. The aim was to topple Syria and control it.”

Sayyed Nasrallah was confident that tyrants would be defeated if everybody took responsibility. “If we all shoulder our responsibilities, we’ll be able to defeat hegemonies, tyrants and plunderers, restore our decision, destiny and resources, and build our region and country. We’re hopeful.”

Speaking on the Islamic Republic of Iran and its constructive role in the region, Sayyed Nasrallah said; “The Islamic Republic is a hub of security, stability, will, civilization and popular sovereignty. It’s preserving its place in the regional and international equation.”

“If the Islamic republic wasn’t there, where would have countries and peoples of the region been? We’re talking out of facts and our generation is witnessing it.” The S.G. also said the Islamic Revolution was a great blessing to the Iranian people and Muslims in general, but the problem was that there are those who are ignorant and unthankful.   

Source: Al-Manar Website
09-10-2015 - 00:57 Last updated 09-10-2015 - 00:57

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Palestinian Seriously Wounds Israeli in New Stabbing - Clashes Ongoing, Zionist Forces Kill Palestinian Protester

A 19-year-old Palestinian stabbed and seriously wounded an Israeli man in al-Quds (Jerusalem) on Thursday before being arrested, police said, the latest in a spate of knife attacks on Zionists.

Stabbing in JerusalemPolice said the 25-year-old Israeli victim was in a serious condition after being stabbed in the neck near one of Jerusalem's main thoroughfares.

The incident occurred near a tramway station close to the national police headquarters, police said.

The suspect, said to be from Shuafat refugee camp in annexed east Jerusalem, later attacked a tramway guard and tried to take his gun before fleeing. Police initially gave his age as 15 before later correcting it to 19.

"He was arrested by police special forces who were in the area," occupation police spokeswoman Luba Samri said.

There has been a series of knife attacks by Palestinians on Israelis in recent days in response to restrictions by the Zionist authorities on access to al-Aqsa Mosque.

Extremist Zionist Settlers, backed by occupation forces repeatedly storm al-Aqsa in the recent weeks, prompting the Palestinians to defend the holy compound.

At least four knife attacks have occurred in Jerusalem and six overall since Saturday, when a Palestinian killed two Israelis in the Old City, helping prompt an Israeli security crackdown.

Source: AFP
08-10-2015 - 14:46 Last updated 08-10-2015 - 14:46

Local Editor

Zionist occupation forces shot dead a Palestinian during clashes in occupied east Al-Quds Thursday amid a hike in the Zionist violence against Palestinian protesters near the city of Ramallah.

The Palestinian killed was shot in the chest at the Shuafat refugee camp in occupied east Jerusalem, according to the Red Crescent and hospital sources.

Israeli troops have also attacked Palestinian protesters in Beit El settlement near the city of Ramallah in the occupied West Bank amid rising tensions over al-Aqsa Mosque.

The clashes erupted when Israeli troops fired tear gas to disperse the demonstrators, who were angry over provocations by Israeli forces and settlers in Muslims’ third holiest site. The forces are also using live ammunition against the Palestinians

At least two Palestinians are reported to have been injured in the attacks by Israeli forces. At least one European photojournalist and his two Arab colleagues are also said to be among injured in the Israeli assault.

Meanwhile, Israeli police sources say a soldier shot and killed a Palestinian man along a busy Tel Aviv road on Thursday.

Israeli forces accused the man of having stabbed four people, including a trooper, with a screwdriver in Tel Aviv.

Tensions have been on the rise in the occupied West Bank and al-Quds in recent days, following a wave of violence that saw Israeli settlers and soldiers attacking Palestinian worshipers in al-Aqsa compound.

Source: Websites 08-10-2015 - 20:46 Last updated 08-10-2015 - 20:46

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“The New Middle East” : Russian Style

The US’ plan to construct a “New Middle East”, announced during the failed 2006 Israeli War on Lebanon, has been totally offset by Russia’s game-changing anti-terrorist intervention in Syria. Although no formal details were ever officially provided as to what this “New Middle East” would look like, many caught on that it would likely follow the destructive contours of Ralph Peters’ “Blood Borders”, in which the entire region falls apart along ethnic and sectarian lines in a Yinon-esque scenario. In fact, the fulfillment of this strategy is one of the main reasons why the “Arab Spring” theater-wide Color Revolutions and the War on Syria were unleashed, but all of that is proving to be for naught now that Russia brilliantly flipped the initiative and has indisputably become the leading actor in the Mideast.

Moscow’s “Mideast Pivot” is geared towards restoring the principles of order in the region that Washington had so wantonly disregarded as it blindly sought to destroy the status quo and chaotically remake the Mideast according to its own desired vision. With the tables having dramatically been turned, however, it’s time to explore another vision of the future, albeit one in which Russia, not the US, plays the guiding role over events. This “New Middle East” is a lot different than the one the US had intended, and it eliminates just about every lever of influence that Washington had previously employed in attempting to keep the region servilely under its strategic command.

The article’s premise is predicated on the Coalition of the Righteous (Russia-Syria-Iraq-Iran) succeeding in its extermination campaign against ISIL, and Part I proceeds to describe the paradigm shift that the Allies have enacted through their actions. Part II is then broken up into two separate sections that uncover the wide-ranging geopolitical consequences of a coalition victory, with the first one discussing the Lebanon-to-Iran Resistance Arc and the second one detailing the resultant destabilization of Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Finally, in response to this historical defeat inflicted against unipolarity, the article concludes by forecasting the ways in which the US will seek geopolitical revenge against Russia for unseating it from its prized perch at the crossroads of Afro-Eurasia.

Out With The Old, In With The New

The Coalition of the Righteous (COR) has completely upended the previous US-led order in the Mideast, and not much of the strategic architecture that Washington created over the past two and a half decades is expected to remain by the time its campaign is concluded. Here are the most notable elements that define this paradigm shift:

Russian Leadership

First off, the most visible difference is that Russia has assumed the key role of setting the region’s agenda, and it’s Moscow, not Washington, that’s affecting the most tangible change in the Mideast. This development didn’t come out of nowhere, as despite the surprised reaction of many observers (especially Western ones), Russia had been steadily growing its regional clout for decades through the management of two ultra-strategic partnerships with Syria and Iran. The one with Iran is relatively new and mostly goes back to the early 2000s, but the relationship with Syria began in the early 1970s and is remarkably the only Soviet-era friendship to remain unscathed by Russia’s international drawdown in the 1990s. Through the simultaneous leveraging and strengthening of each of these bilateral partnerships, plus the unified strategic overlap between them (i.e. the Syrian-Iranian Strategic Partnership), a super nexus of interests has been established, thereby setting the strategic backdrop for the COR and the multilateral pushback against the US’ “New Middle East” of chaotic destruction. Unlike the US, Russia leads from the front, not from behind, and this fearless example has energized its coalition and raised the hopes of the entire multipolar world.

The Iraqi War Of Independence

One of the most prominent elements of the Russian-led “New Middle East” is the inclusion of Iraq in the COR, which can be read as nothing less than the country’s desire to liberate itself from American proxy domination and truly experience its first sense of independence since 2003. Most Iraqis, and especially their government (as can be inferred by their membership in the COR), are cognizant of the fact that the US had been using ISIL as its strategic wrecking ball for actualizing Ralph Peters’ “Blood Borders”, and whether Sunni, Shia, or Kurdish, they appear to have finally had enough. Over 13 years of full-on destruction and countless false promises are enough to make even the most stalwart pro-American forces falter in their loyalty, and the Iraqi experience is the most striking global example of the grave perils that befall all of America’s second-rate, non-Western ‘partners’. The Iraqi War of Independence, which is what its COR anti-ISIL campaign basically amounts to, powerfully demonstrates that even the most abused proxy states have the real potential to fight back, provided that the political will is there at the highest levels and that the population is truly fed up with the prior state of affairs.

Syria Comes Full Circle

Syria, the scene of the present global attention, ironically just so happens to be the first battleground of the New Cold War, and it makes for a certain sense of poetic justice that the most epic geopolitical resistance that the US has ever experienced is taking place right there. The Pentagon’s power ploy in wrestling full control of the region by means of the “Arab Spring” Color Revolutions was the opening salvo of the New Cold War, as the US had originally planned to carry the chaotic regime change momentum all the way to Central Asia the thenceforth to the Resistant & Defiant (R&D) states of Russia, China, and Iran. It goes without saying that all three of these actors understood the global power grab that the US was undertaking even if they were slow in coordinating their response, and had it not been for fierce and patriotic Syrian resistance to this scheme, it’s possible that they would have been in a much less advantageous and more disorganized position in confronting it today.
Syria’s sacrifices stopped the tidal wave of terror from slamming into the R&D states, and Russia’s gratitude was expressed through its 2013 diplomatic intervention in staving off an American bombing campaign against the country. This bought the R&D states a bit more time to prepare before the next imminent onslaught, but it unwittingly provoked the US into moving forward its regime change plans for Ukraine and deploying them a year ahead of schedule. This vengeful attempt was meant to ‘punish’ Russia for the global embarrassment that it inflicted on the US in Syria, and it’s what most people mistakenly think set off the New Cold War, overlooking that it was Syria, not Ukraine, where the first battle was fought. Incidentally, everything has come full circle, and the most important stage of the New Cold War is presently being played out in Syria, as the COR smashes the terroristic instruments of unipolar hegemony and midwifes the birth of the multipolar world order, and more than likely, it won’t limit its successes to the Mideast either.

Chasing Evil

The largest uncertainty facing American strategists is exactly how far the COR will geographically go in fighting back against global terrorism. The present focus is obviously on the Syrian-Iraqi theater, but after the conclusion of that campaign, one must realistically ponder whether the Allies could repeat their success in Libya or Afghanistan, pending of course an official request from those countries’ leaders. Of corroborating note, it’s hugely significant that shortly after the COR’s anti-terrorist intervention in Syria, Kerry urgently pleaded with Libya’s leaders (both de-jure and de-facto) to form a government as soon as possible so as to stop ISIL from taking further hold of the country. One could venture to guess that the US is seriously worried about the possibility that an expanded COR, this time including Egypt (which has selectively intervened in Libya in the past), could intervene in the failed state in order to root out the Pentagon’s proxy forces and save the country from following The New York Times’ “Blood Borders”-like scenario of trilateral state fragmentation.

Concerning Afghanistan, if ISIL ever manages to establish a destabilizing enough foothold there, it’s possible that Kabul, having been witness to the efficiency of the COR’s anti-terrorist airstrikes in Syria, could request similar assistance in dislodging the terrorist group. If that happened, then it would be the final nail in the US’ Central-South Asian coffin of chaos, as Afghanistan would thus be signaling the beginning of its own War of Independence in removing the US’ presence. With the proxies go the patron, so it’s expected that as soon as the terrorists are extinguished from Libya and Afghanistan (potentially with COR assistance), the US will also be shown the door as well and these two states can finally regain the sovereignty that they had earlier lost.

Additionally, as a tangent of the Afghan scenario, if some type of terrorist threat emanating from the country was directed towards Central Asia (most realistically Tajikistan), it’s unquestionable that Russian-led COR-CSTO airstrikes will immediately be used to stop it. Likewise, Uzbekistan might even entertain the possibility of requesting multilateral Russian-involved assistance if a similar incident happens along its borders and spirals out of control, but only, of course, in very specific circumstances and if absolutely necessary for its survival. The problem in this operational Central-South Asian theater, however, is if a multitude of threats emerges simultaneously, which in that case could prove overwhelming for Russia’s military-strategic planners and will be addressed in Part IV of the article.

Crushing The US’ Pillars Of Power

Not counting Israel (which is in a special category of its own), US influence over the Mideast had rested on two primary pillars of power, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, but this construction is now crumbling as Russia returns to the region. In a twist of geopolitical fate, what the US had previously assumed to be the most stable countries in the region are now the two on the greatest verge of destabilization, and ironically, the two which the US had tried the most to destabilize (Syria and Iraq) are now the ones which look to have one of the most stable futures. Addressing the former, Erdogan’s bumbling miscalculations have returned Turkey to a state of de-facto civil war, while Saudi Arabia’s disastrous War on Yemen has given rise to a ‘rogue royal’s’ plan for regime change (to say nothing about the separate threats of ISIL and an Eastern Province revolt).

Looking at Syria and Iraq, one of the COR’s geopolitical intentions is to safeguard the sovereignty and territorial integrity of its members, and the elimination of ISIL goes a far way in accomplishing that goal. Furthermore, concerning the previous fears of Kurdish separatism, it’s safe to say that Russia’s military assistance to the group has quelled this sentiment and endeared Moscow with acertain degree of influence in Erbil, which could of course be used to temper any secessionist thoughts that would play out to the US’ strategic advantage. With the Kurdish issue being dealt with, and the Wahhabist terrorists on the run, Syria and Iraq have a lot more to look forward to in their futures than civil war-struck Turkey and (royally and domestically) divided Saudi Arabia do, and this has of course weakened American grand strategy in the Mideast unlike any other series of events that has come before it and will be fleshed out more in Part II.

The Defeat Of The Reverse Brzezinski

The COR’s carefully delegated application of force in Syria – Russian support remains limited to air missions, the Syrian Arab Army and Kurdish militias take care of the full ground component – presents a disciplined way to prevent the temptation of mission creep, the core of the Reverse Brzezinski. If Russia and Iran can avoid this strategic pitfall, then they’d have nullified one of the US’ most innovative policies and won themselves much-needed breathing room for addressing future regional security threats. The more one reflects upon it, the more it becomes clear that the key to beating the Reverse Brzezinski is to assemble the proper coalition of forces for intervening in the “quagmire” zone. If either Great Power attempted to do so on its own and without self-restraint, then it’s chances of falling for the dupe would have greatly increased, but in the current case of Syria (and soon to be, Iraq), they’ve proven themselves more than able to patiently and multilaterally address the situation and steer clear of the US’ trap. If they can maintain this state of mind and inclusive operational behavior going forward (and there’s no reason to think that they can’t), as well as carry these lessons over to any forthcoming Reverse Brzezinski scenarios such as theSouth Caucasus or Central Asia, then the US’ formerly flexible strategy of entrapment would become a lot more rigid and much less likely to be employed in the future.

The Resistance Arc Is Reborn

The author wrote about this scenario twice, once back in January and the other earlier last month (but published this week), and it deals with the geopolitical resurrection of the Resistance Arc between Iran, Iraq, and Syria. The earliest forecast suggested that Iran could play a stabilizing role in convincing the Kurds to abandon their secessionist desires, while the latest one built upon that idea by highlighting the crucial role that a pro-Resistance Kurdish entity (whether independent or still part of Iraq) would play in fulfilling this scenario. Also, the most recent analysis postulates that with all three entities having the common denomination of Republicanism (be it Secular or Islamic), there’s a certain ideological synergy between them that makes their cooperation all the more natural, and can also lead to the inclusion of Lebanon if it ever truly stabilizes. The COR can thus be seen as the second iteration of the Resistance-Republic Arc, but this time much more strengthened in its geopolitical standing as a result of the Russian Federation’s formal incorporation. In the context of the New Cold War, this makes the coalition the number one military enemy of the US, since it’s the only force that is literally fighting back against its proxies and dedicated to sweeping them and their puppet masters completely out of the geo-pivotal Mideast region.

Kurdistan Makes Its Choice

Continuing with the theme of the Kurds’ criticality to any Resistance Arc recreation in the Mideast, it needs to be directly stated that their leaders have made a clear choice in favor of the COR. By going from unipolar clients to multipolar allies, the Kurds have played a major role in ensuring the viability of the coalition and securing its internal unity in the face of terrorist aggression against it. Russia was the kingmaker in having this happen, as its focused diplomatic efforts over the past two months are largely responsible for the Kurdish Pivot. Without this having occurred, then the geopolitical danger of a pro-American Kurdish client state rising out of the coalition’s anti-terrorist campaign would have hung over the multipolar world like the ultimate Damocles’ Sword. Therefore, the Kurds certainly deserve their fair share of credit and should be saluted for bravely rejecting the US’ vision for them and transferring their trust to the COR instead. Washington can’t in the least bit be happy about this, but it’s mostly unable to do anything about it because its Turkish attack dog is mired in an escalating civil war at home and not at all in a position to project large amounts of punitive force across the border (with its latest small-scaleground and air raids being the most it can realistically do for now).

Iran’s Internal Debate Is Over

The signing of the Iranian nuclear agreement temporarily revealed the internal divisions among the country’s elite, with Western-slurred “hard-liners” decryingit as being full of too many concessions while the so-called “moderates” praised it for its pragmatism. Going further, Iran entered into a brief period of political schizophrenia, courting Western investment at the same time that Ayatollah Khamenei reaffirmed that his country’s stance towards the US remains unchanged. This confusing dichotomy led the author and others to wonder whether or not Western-friendly “moderate” forces had succeeded in secretly assuming power behind the scenes and hijacking Iran’s geopolitical orientation. While some level of political differences still most surely exist in Iran’s upper echelons, the country’s participation in the COR firmly indicates that the “hard-liners” (in reality, the forces that are the most geopolitically pragmatic in Iran) are still calling the shots, which is a huge relief for the multipolar world. Venturing to explain how they pulled out on top, it’s very likely that F. William Engdahl’sexplanation of Russia’s embedded military and technical influence strategically overriding any of the West’s economic temptations is the most accurate reason, and while questions still remain about the impact that Iran’s forthcoming return to the global energy market will have for Russia, that too is likely to have already been addressed by both parties.

The Friendship Pipeline Returns

One of the geopolitical dividends that the War on Syria was supposed to reap for the West and its regional allies was the unviability of the Iran-Iraq-Syria Friendship Pipeline, but with order soon to return to the latter two states, it’s very probable that the project will actually be revived. This is even more so as Western Europe continues to look for a non-Russian energy alternative, especially now that the Turkish-Kurdish War has raised serious questions about the security of the TANAP and TAP lines. Thus, a geo-energy reversal appears to be taking place, one in which TANAP and TAP look unviable while the Friendship Pipeline seems realistic. The windfall of transit revenue that Iraq and Syria would receive for hosting the pipeline could greatly assist with their post-war reconstruction efforts, thus making it a natural economic choice for their leaderships (aside from the loyal commitment that each of them already have in resurrecting the fraternal project). Assuming that the opportunity arises for its physical creation (which is very possible considering that the COR will succeed), this begs the question about how such a large influx of gas on the global market would impact on Russia’s grand energy strategy.
The issue of massive Iranian gas exports threatens to potentially split Russia and Iran in the future more than any other, but in all likelihood, it seems as though Moscow has already thought this through in advance and reached some sort of understanding with Tehran. After all, it’s logical to conclude that once Iraq and Syria return to full stability, Iran would naturally take the lead in suggesting the recreation of the Friendship Pipeline, even more so in the context of the post-sanctions environment it will be in by that time. The pipeline won’t be built right away, of course, and this gives Russia time to flex out its response, which is predicted to be the continued trend of lessening its budgetary dependency on energy exports and diversifying more towards the Asian marketplace. Pair this with the fact that the Friendship Pipeline will export LNG, which thus gives it a very narrow consumer base concentrated mostly in Western Europe, and one can realize how it won’t directly threaten the demand for Russia’s geo-critical Balkan Stream pipeline, thereby avoiding the potential for an unfriendly energy competition between the two Allies. On a final note about this topic, Russia is also primed for expanding its real-sector economic relations via a broad South Eurasian Pivot (which touches into East Africa, too), meaning that its prior relative dependence on energy exports (typically misrepresented, at that) will take on even less of an importance than before as the country engages in new, innovative, and geographically wider methods of spreading its influence.

The Lebanese Lifeline

The Russian military intervention in Syria has relieved the pro-government ground forces of enormous pressure, and it’s thus made it much easier for them to operate. This opens up the possibility that Hezbollah’s fighters there are no longer needed in the same capacity as before, and could thus return to Lebanon to potentially deal with the domestic crisis there without having much of a negative on-the-ground consequence for the Syrian Arab Army right now. One shouldn’t misunderstand the author at this juncture – Hezbollah played an enormously important role in supporting Damascus in its anti-terrorist missions – but it’s just that Lebanon, the epicenter of the movement, is now facing its own existential crisis that might necessitate the organization playing a key role there in some way or another. Had Russia not directly intervened in Syria, then it would have been much more difficult for the Syrian Arab Army to manage the frontlines had Hezbollah needed to abruptly pull most of its forces out of the country for whatever unexpected reason. Now, however, no such military vulnerability exists in the same sense as it previously did, thus giving Hezbollah more freedom of military maneuverability to save Lebanon without having to make the painful decision of choosing between helping its homeland or Syria.
Hezbollah’s flexibility in now being able to more conveniently transfer units from Syria back to Lebanon will likely help it in better managing the country’s crisis if it escalates and such a need arises. Complementarily to this, Russia has also just announced that it will provide an unspecified amount of military equipment to Lebanon’s armed forces and law enforcement agencies to assist with their anti-ISIL efforts. This stroke of strategic genius will help the country counter any terrorist threat that spills over its borders during the forthcoming Russian-Syrian Liberation Offensive, and it will also serve to bolster the state in repelling any destructive Color Revolution-like Islamist takeover. The lifeline that Russia has thus extended to the Lebanese state might be sufficient enough not only to finally bring some semblance of stability to it, but also to make it a member of the COR. If the latter comes to be, then the Resistance Arc would continue to consolidate itself as the Republican Arc, further highlighting the ideological differences between it and the unipolar-affiliated monarchies to the south. Additionally, Lebanon’s incorporation into the Alliance would help it shake off the influence ofpro-Saudi infiltrators that have snuck the Kingdom’s influence into the country and its institutions over the past decade.

River to Sea Uprooted Palestinian   
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